Tokens and several major cryptocurrencies such as EOS have demonstrated strong short-term momentum over the last 24 hours, pushing the valuation of the crypto market to $206 billion.
The volume of Bitcoin, which declined to the mid-$3 billion region, recovered to $4.2 billion, showing a clear increase in trading activity across major cryptocurrency exchanges.
Affected by the increase in the volume of Bitcoin, tokens and digital assets such as Loom, Status, Bancor, WaltonChain, Pundi X, OmiseGo, and Zcash recorded gains in the range of 8 to 20 percent, portraying large upside movements for the first time since September 15.
What the Increase in the Volume of Bitcoin Means
In previous reports, CCN reported that the low volume of Bitcoin has left the cryptocurrency market vulnerable to short-term drops, possibly below the $200 billion mark. At one point, the volume of Bitcoin fell to $3.1 billion, down nearly 26 percent from $4.2 billion.
Technical analysts including Hsaka emphasized that the failure of Bitcoin to recover in volume could trigger the dominant cryptocurrency to maintain its tight range until the end of the year, which could prevent the initiation of 2019 with positive sentiment regarding cryptocurrencies as a growing asset class.
“To be honest, with volume and volatility petering out, I wouldn’t be surprised to see BTC hold this range for another month (and maybe till the EOY too). Would be the path of maximum pain, bears don’t get their rapid selloff to 4.8k, bulls distraught over not being able to break 6.8k,” Hsaka explained.
In early 2019, specifically in February, several major announcements await Bitcoin. Most importantly, the final deadline of the VanEck/SolidX Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) application is set to be evaluated by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) by the end of February 2019.
If Bitcoin can initiate a major positive price movement prior to the year’s end impacted by the launch of BTC futures markets by Bakkt and Goldman Sachs, a positive sentiment could be carried out into the first quarter of 2019.
A positive sentiment from 2018 combined with an approval of a Bitcoin ETF could have a drastic impact on the price of Bitcoin and the valuation of the cryptocurrency market that could potentially trigger a strong mid-term rally.
Hence, in the short-term, at least by the end of November, it is important for BTC and the rest of the crypto market to demonstrate some momentum supported by decent volume to prevent the current negative sentiment in the global market being carried into next year.
In general, the vast majority of tokens and small market cryptocurrencies have recorded 5 to 10 percent gains in the past 12 hours. ICON, Decentraland, Polymath, Tron, Aelf, Aion, and many other tokens that have poorly performed against both BTC and the US dollar have demonstrated strong short-term movements.
It is possible that the increase in the volume of Bitcoin was triggered by bulls in the market trying to push the cryptocurrency market out of its low price range to defend the $6,000 support level and achieve minor resistance levels in the mid-$6,000 region for BTC.